A whiff of compromise?


Both sides may have an incentive to see that the special election never happens.

It makes sense for us: We save campaign funds.

It makes sense for Arnold: His popularity is dropping and he may have bitten off more than he can chew.

Ballot battle may be easing
(Merc) As the Legislature returns from spring break Tuesday, signs are growing that lawmakers want to avoid a costly ballot-box battle and instead strike compromises on Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's "reform'' proposals.

The shifting focus follows months of public events and posturing by the Republican governor and his Democratic opponents, who have geared up for a potential special election this year.

Upcoming deadlines for initiatives -- at least one measure must be turned in with signatures by April 19, and the rest by May 6 to make a fall ballot -- are expected to spur negotiations. Other factors, from the governor's falling popularity to Democrats' desire to save campaign cash until 2006, lead analysts to predict compromise is near.


Hm. Potentially, this is great. If the special election never happens, it eliminates the risk that Schwarzenegger would indeed "go to the voters" with a series of well-funded ballot initiatives and score big points by delivering.

Questions remain, however.

First: Does it look better for Democrats (look, the Governor didn't deliver on his promises!) or Republicans (the Governor threatened a special election unless the Legislature acted fast, and look, the Legislature acted fast!)?

Second: Does this thing now have a life of its own? In anticipation of the special election, a veritable deluge of ballot initiative petition drives are underway. Supposing that the Governor no longer supports it, could the aggregated political pressure from dozens of single-issue efforts (and the consultants who hope to get rich off the process) provide enough support for a special election anyway?

(When I put it that way, the answer seems like a clear "no" -- still, I'd be interested to hear what others think.)

Posted: Tue - March 29, 2005 at 07:06 AM   | Category:     |   |   | |



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